OSS EXPERIMENT #1 -- RESULTS
Do Average People Have Psychic Abilities?
From May to Aug of 2018, I conducted a small experiment to determine if a group of average people had any psychic skills. The results of the experiment suggests they do.
The experiment consisted of questions I created that could be answered with a True or False response.
To force participants to rely on their psychic abilities, they did not know what the questions were, and were presented with two colors to choose from, not knowing which color represented True or False.
Here is a question that was sent to the participants.
Question ID: 2xLhHnLoZmcM
Deadline: 7/5/18 6PM EST
Choose a Color: Black or Yellow
Please respond by the Deadline.
The actual question was: US 500 Futures (S&P 500) will close lower on Friday, July 6th, 2018
The colors were randomly assigned the values of True or False. In this case Black was True, and Yellow was False.
The day before the target date (July 6th, 2018), I would tally up the participants responses, and send them the scores and the question they were responding to.
Question #: 19
Question ID: 2xLhHnLoZmcM
Question: US 500 Futures (S&P 500) will close lower on Friday, July 6th, 2018
Response Choices: Black (TRUE) / Yellow (FALSE)
Group response that the statement is TRUE: 55%
Static Indicator: 1
Individual scores for each participant were also tracked.
2 participants had been right over 70% of the time, while another 4 participants had successful outcomes above 60% and less than 70%. 5 participants had scores below 40%, and 1 participant had a score of 35%.
Special attention was paid to the participants with scores under 45%. Near the end of the experiment, I was publishing the Group score, the score of those who were most succesful (scores over 60%) and the scores for those with the lowest scores. In the case of the lowest scores, their choice of color was flipped seeing they were usually wrong.
Half way through the experiment, I introduced the Statis Indicator. On one particular question, the Group and the Leaders were wrong in a big way. Having read about space weather affecting humans in a number of ways, and personally checking the space weather dashboard daily, I thought it might have an affect on one's psychic abilities. NOAA'a Space Weather Prediction Center tracks a number of space weather variables. I downloaded their "30 days of Solar Data" which can be found here: ftp://ftp.swpc.noaa.gov/pub/latest/DSD.txt
References to Space Weather and its affect on humans can be found at the bottom of this page.
Applying the Solar Data to previous questions ask during the experiment, one could eye-ball more misses by the Group when there was greater activity/disturpences in one or more of the variables on the days participants were pondering the question they were sent.
By the end of the 30 question experiment, 7 misses and 2 hits occurred when one of more of the space weather variables show unusual activity.
I chose the word Static for this indicator as you would refer to static on a radio which makes the signal more difficult to tune into.
A number of participants raise the question as to the use of colors to represent True and False. Colors no doubt do have an emotional impact for some people. Dispite the possibility that this emotional response to colors might have skewed the participants scores, I stuck with colors through the original 30 questions. The experiment is now being repeated with another 30 questions, but in place of colors, I am using randomly selected letters. Question #41 was sent out today, Aug 11 2018. The question contains the line "Choose a Letter: W or P." We'll see if scores increase.
The group ended the experiment with a score of 66%. If questions affect by space weather were removed, the success rate for the group was 82.60%
I have not taken the time to calculate how individual scores were impacted by the ommission of questions asked when a disturpance in space weather was present, but will do if time permits.
Individual scores are published from time to time so each participant can see how they are doing.
Participants were recruited from one of the serviceS offered by the OSS TRADERS website at http://oss.cc. 25 participants volenteered. 3 participants were dropped when they stopped responding after the first few questions.
If you wish to follow along, results are being posted in both the free nightly newsletter ( http://oss.cc/oss_FreeServices.asp ) and the subscription based OSS NIGHTLY INDICATORS newsletter ( http://oss.cc/oss_Subscription.asp ).
With the paricipants being right more often than wrong, I started posting trade recommendation using binary options at Nadex.com through the OPTION SIGNAL SERVICE at http://oss.cc/oss_Subscription.asp#OptionSignalService. WARNING! If the Group response is right, you could still use the trade. Options are available at different strike price. Let's say yesterday's close was 2825 for the S&P 500. The Group says the Close will be higher the next day. The next strike price for an option might be 2828. If the Close on the predicted date is 2826, the Groups was right, but the closing price was below your 2828 option. You lose 100%. I will try to word the questions alittle different such as "Gold futures will finish at least 5 points lower on Monday."
REFERENCES: SPACE WEATHER AND HUMANS
Space Weather Effects on Health
space weather its effect on human health behaviour
Geomagnetic Storms and their Influence on the Human Brain